Costco missed estimates today, and it was on my shortlist of retailers

The markets are again moving faster than I can process research and perform due diligence. I will release additional name that I have been looking at and gathering positions on in that space some time today or tomorrow. I would like to be clear that these are not subjects that have been thoroughly analyzed, but have popped up as shortlisted in initial screens.

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16 Responses to “Costco missed estimates today, and it was on my shortlist of retailers”

  1. shaunsnoll says:

    the list of your potential shorts is almost more useful than the full reports, since, for me, being aware and involved in your thought process as you go through your research is better for me than when you hand an amazing stock idea on a silver platter to us. (Not that i don’t love that of course!) through releasing bits of your research process i have learned such an immense amount about forensic research and stock picking that my own personal ability has gotten much better since i started reading your site. these updates as you go through yoru research process is something that i dont think ANY other site/blog/service has ANYWHERE, and THAT learning i’ve gotten from you is priceless!! for that, i definately owe you a big Thank You and Cheers Reggie! Your the man!

  2. phirang says:

    I would admonish everyone here NOT to short WYNN at these levels… let’s wait for Q4 and guidance. The real dump will be, ceterius paribus etc etc, on Q1 results and guidance thence.

  3. jarret says:

    Do you currently have an companies in the retail space that you believe would be good shorts?

  4. shaunsnoll says:

    i dont know if CRI counts, but they look to be in a pretty bad spot, let me get back to you tomorrow, my research is on my other computer

  5. shaunsnoll says:

    count as a retailer? movies are pretty discretionary, and can anyone explain to me why MW spending more per year on capex? CSTR looks bad too with a 30 P/E

  6. jarret says:

    Thanks Shaunsnoll as I have been following your comments and noticed that you have a real good handle on things. I think we both found Reggie around the same time and I know you like me are better off on a lot of levels for it.

    On a side note Costco is a great retailer, has great management and corporate governance
    which is one of the reason it carried a high PE and showed up on Reggie’s list. If I remember correctly AMZN didnt show up which is suprising given their PE though they did have a good last Q.

  7. shaunsnoll says:

    i have also posted some research in the forums on this site with some long ideas that could be interesting. i’ll try to post some more research of mine over there late, so as not to clog up the comments section with unrelated talk. there are some VERY intelligent investors on here and creating an engaging and smart conversation in the forums would be great. one of the most under utilized assets of this blog is the quality of its subscribers imo

  8. nealthom says:

    I agree that Wynn is a scary short at this level but Reggie just released it. Was looking for a valuation but unfortunately, none was listed. Does anyone know when the next earnings report is being released?

  9. Reggie Middleton says:

    This is a danger of posting shortlist candidates. I have no opinion on Wynn yet, other than it is in trouble. Feel free to look into it further. I will have more complete findings in a couple of weeks.

  10. phirang says:

    trades like a tech stock with kindle.

    Dangerous short, unless you think kindle is a bust.

  11. phirang says:

    pretty mediocre results… Reggie, can you provide subscribers with a quick update and some channel-check intel? ;D

  12. johnnydollar says:

    reggie, any comment on hig’s miss would be appreciated.

  13. cube660 says:

    HIG is old news. All prudent subscribers should have already positioned themselves with shorts and leap puts by now. Especially with the recent run-up in the stock price. HIG at $16 was a complete joke.

    Reggie has already released and reiterated his opinion with this stock. Of course they missed. Next will be PFG.

  14. johnnydollar says:

    having been well positioned. i’d now like to know if he thinks things are deteriorating at a greater clip than he thought with hig.

  15. phirang says:

    HIG at least has a good P&C business.

    PFG offers nothing worth mentioning. I’m shorting them into oblivion.

  16. Reggie Middleton says:

    Very, very funny. Many CEO’s fly [url=http://www.markfiore.com/wall_street_executive_air_0]Executive Air[/url].

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