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Wednesday, 23 May 2012 10:21

Newsbytes To Help You Frontrun Those Banks Frontrunning You! Featured

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In today's MSM front pages:

EU Seen Agreeing on Project Bonds—Not Eurobonds - of course not! 17 different nations, 17 different cultures, 17 different sets of federal laws (not to mention local municipality legislation), 17 different economies, 17 different banking systems... It's this lack of homogeneity that brought the Euro concept to its knees in the first place. Why throw good money (what would have went into Eurobonds) after bad (what went into a flawed Euro concept) to justify flushing it with awful (the multiple bailout mechanisms/default losses, ECB balance sheet bloat)? Reference A Summary and Related Thoughts on the IMF’s “Strategies for Fiscal Consolidation in the Post-Crisis 

Germany Sells 2-Year, 0% Bonds Amid Greek Anxiety - Bubble, bubble, toil and trouble! It's as simple as that. Why lend money at risk for no return? Reference The Biggest Threat To The 2012 Economy Is??? Not What Wall Street Is Telling You... where I explained in explicit detail the risk this view of Germany causes the entire European continent and the UK! As a matter of fact, a follow up opinion of the subscription research illustrated subject company (an insurer) in this write-up will be the topic of my next post. After all, we can't let GS and JPM blow up the world by themselves, can we?

Roubini Strategist: High Yields Are Europe's New Normal This is a no brainer. How about high rate volatility as well as all of the financial entity fun that that will ensue? Here's a better question. What happens to real estate values as interest rates increase? Yep! You heard it here first... Watch As Near Free Money To Banks Fails To Prevent Nuclear Winter In European Real Estate. As a matter of fact, We're At Step 2 Of The Global Real Estate Compression!

Of course, after pondering that query, must become more investigatory - What happens to bank mortgages as CRE values plunge? So, Can Europe Nationalize All Of Its Troubled Banks? 

CNBC reports Banks No Longer 'Float Above Their Countries': Deutsche - Banks' countries of origin have become important again. No shit, Sherlock!!!

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I warned heavily last year about the connection between higher interest rates and falling real estate in Europe...

Reggie Middleton as the Keynote Speaker at the ING Real Estate Valuation Seminar in Amsterdam

 

Bank of England to Print Money if Economy Worsens - Well, you know I've always said The UK Can't Be In A Double Dip Recession If It Never Truly Left The First Recession, Can It?

As we clearly articulated two years ago, when it was alleged that recession was over, in the subscriber (click here to subscribe) document  UK Public Finances March 2010:

 UK_Public_Finance_Analysis_2.0_Page_01_copyUK_Public_Finance_Analysis_2.0_Page_01_copyUK_Public_Finance_Analysis_2.0_Page_01_copy

UK_Public_Finance_Analysis_2.0_Page_02UK_Public_Finance_Analysis_2.0_Page_02UK_Public_Finance_Analysis_2.0_Page_02

UK_Public_Finance_Analysis_2.0_Page_03UK_Public_Finance_Analysis_2.0_Page_03

UK Retail Sales Slide at Fastest Pace in 2 Years in April - Well of course. Don't these guys read the BoomBust??? The Greatest Risk To Retail Commercial Real Estate Is? Sovereign Debt! Macro Headwinds! Popping Bubbles! Busted Banks! No, It's The Internet! and Prepare For CRE Crash And Burn Marks At A Shopping Mall Near You

 

'Nuff said! Subscribers, as (not if, but as) this breaks, these are the companies trading at the valuations that are most shortable/profitable in my opinion... Relevant downloads for subscribers only! Click here to subscribe...

US CRE

  • File IconUS REIT Fire Sale Scenario Analysis
    File Icon US REIT Foreclosure Scenario Analysis
  • File Icon US REIT Sample Property Valuation
  • File Icon US REIT Cashflows and Debt Preliminary Analysis

European Insurance

  • File Icon Insurer Report_122511 - Professional/Institutional edition
  • File Icon Insurer Report_122511 -Retail edition

European CRE (this one is a bit dated)

  • File Icon  Debt Analysis, Blog Subscriber Edition
  • File Icon Preliminary Download

European banking

Haircuts, Derivative Risks and Valuation

And the cat that was already let out of the bag...

file iconBNP Exposures - Professional Subscriber Download Version
file iconBNP Exposures - Retail Subscriber Download Version
file iconBNP Exposures - Free Public Download Version
 file iconFrench Bank Run Forensic Thoughts - Addendum and Update

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Last modified on Wednesday, 23 May 2012 11:15
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ReggieMiddletonReggieMiddleton: @Digikelly @pdacosta @hmtreasury @ReutersJamie many thanks, original article is here, much more to the conversation http://t.co/wCr1I59MNY

about a day ago from HootSuite

ReggieMiddletonReggieMiddleton: @islesail it matters much less for the states... the US had its own printing press, Scotland, Cyprus and Iceland do not.

about a day ago from HootSuite

ReggieMiddletonReggieMiddleton: @BrettBina the answer to that question is contained in the subscription documents towards the end if the article.

about a day ago from HootSuite

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