Sears Finally Throws In The Towel Exactl…

22-03-2017 Hits:304 BoomBustBlog Reggie Middleton

Sears Finally Throws In The Towel Exactly When I Predicted "has ‘substantial doubt’ about its future"

My prediction of Sears collapsing once interest rates started ticking upwards was absolutely on point.

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The Transformation of Television in Amer…

21-03-2017 Hits:692 BoomBustBlog Reggie Middleton

The Transformation of Television in America and Worldwide

TV has changed more in the past 10 years than it has since it's inception nearly 100 years ago This change is profound, and the primary benefactors look and act...

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It's the Real Estate Crash That I Warned…

20-03-2017 Hits:1167 BoomBustBlog Reggie Middleton

It's the Real Estate Crash That I Warned You About (again)

I've issued several warnings late last year warning of the real estate bubble peaking and popping. I feel I'm especially qualified to do such since I quite accurately called the...

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When It Comes Time To Show and Prove, Eq…

20-03-2017 Hits:1020 BoomBustBlog Reggie Middleton

When It Comes Time To Show and Prove, Equity Markets May Drop Hard

The markets have gotten euphoric since the Trump election, apparently because someone believed what he was selling. Take a look at the broad market jump (powered greatly by the bank...

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So, Brexit Is Now Almost Official. Is Th…

20-03-2017 Hits:435 BoomBustBlog Reggie Middleton

Note: All downloadable legacy content is for subscribers only. We currently have a sale for $11 per month for basic access. Professional subscribers are now evevated to have direct access...

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In Less Than Two Weeks, Another Bitcoin …

17-03-2017 Hits:1808 BoomBustBlog Reggie Middleton

In Less Than Two Weeks, Another Bitcoin ETF Faces SEC Deadline - It's Denial Is NOT A Bearish Event

LedgerX's "SOLIDX BITCOIN TRUST" has an approval deadline this March 30th, 2017.If it is approved, Bitcoin is due for one hell of a bump, but...  

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The Fed Raises Rates While Still Baby Fe…

17-03-2017 Hits:1659 BoomBustBlog Reggie Middleton

The Fed Raises Rates While Still Baby Feeding the MBS Market With Billions in Monthly Purchases

The Fed has raised rates, officially making real what was mere signaling of the end of its expansionary era... Or is it? You see, from a practical perspective, QE is...

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A Bitcoin ETF or Similar Regulated Insti…

16-03-2017 Hits:2191 BoomBustBlog Reggie Middleton

A Bitcoin ETF or Similar Regulated Institutional Vehicle is a Forgone Conclusion - What Happens Next?

Someone with over 53 years on Wall Street sent me this article from Lex of the Financial Times...

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Why the Winelvoss Bitcoin ETF Was Reject…

13-03-2017 Hits:3006 BoomBustBlog Reggie Middleton

Why the Winelvoss Bitcoin ETF Was Rejected and How to Create a Regulated Vehicle That Passes Muster

 The Winkelvoss ETF application was rejected by the SEC, and bitcoin dropped about 20% in price. I repetitively warned those that followed me that a very low risk buying opportunity...

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Trump Calls Obama's Policies On Russia W…

10-03-2017 Hits:2698 BoomBustBlog Reggie Middleton

 Donald Trump's recent Tweet discusses how Russia has gotten stronger at the behest of President Obama.   For eight years Russia "ran over" President Obama, got stronger and stronger, picked-off Crimea and...

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SNAP's Greed Derived Self-Inflicted Woun…

08-03-2017 Hits:3755 BoomBustBlog Reggie Middleton

SNAP's Greed Derived Self-Inflicted Wounds Continue to Manifest

The day before the SNAP IPO, I penned "Goldman Sachs & Morgan Stanley Pull Off the Heist of the Decade, Bends Over Those Who Don't Read BoomBustBlog". Despite being rather...

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Bitcoin Is Reaching the Point of No Retu…

08-03-2017 Hits:3478 BoomBustBlog Reggie Middleton

Bitcoin Is Reaching the Point of No Return - Buy Side Should Take Note

Many bitcoin aficionados are waiting with baited breath as the SEC is to announce by this Friday whether they will approve the first registered bitcoin ETF. This is not the...

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In my very first post on this blog, I shared my "Thoughts on the Homebuilders" about 5 months ago. In particular, I was skeptical about their abilitiy to maintain swap agreements to fund their mortgage facilities, and the lingering (and value damaging) liabilites that the builders will be stuck with. Now that builders are forced to rely on warehouse credit lines for funding mortgages, they are very vulnerable to the whims of banks, who themselves are hurting for capital and not very willing to take risk. The next step in the saga is the pulling of credit lines and the sticking of bad morgtages back to the builders, which will choke them. The following is from Centex's latest 10Q:

Funding of Mortgage Loans

CTX Mortgage Company, LLC has historically funded its origination of mortgage loans through the sale of such mortgage loans to Harwood Street Funding I, LLC (“HSF-I”) and, to a lesser extent, through borrowings under more traditional committed bank warehouse credit facilities and mortgage loan sale agreements. As a result of the significant disruptions in the mortgageasset-backed commercial paper markets and , beginning in the second quarter of fiscal year 2008, HSF-I was unable to finance the purchase of mortgage loans from CTX Mortgage Company, LLC. In November 2007, HSF-I and the related swap arrangements were terminated and all outstanding obligations were redeemed. The termination of HSF-I was entirely due to these external market factors and not to any quality or performance issues related to HSF-I or its underlying collateral.

CTX Mortgage Company, LLC is currently funding its mortgage originations primarily through borrowings under a committed bank warehouse credit facility and a mortgage loan sale agreement. The warehouse facility generally allows CTX Mortgage Company, LLC to sell to the bank, on a revolving basis, mortgage loans up to an aggregate specified amount. Simultaneously, the bank has entered into an agreement to transfer such mortgage loans back to CTX Mortgage Company, LLC on a specified date or on the Company’s demand for subsequent sale by CTX Mortgage Company, LLC to third parties. Mortgage loans eligible for sale by CTX Mortgage Company, LLC under the warehouse facility are conforming loans, FHA/VA eligible loans, and jumbo loans meeting conforming underwriting guidelines except as to the size of the loan. The bank has the option to convert the facility to an amortizing loan based on the ultimate sale of the underlying collateral and not to purchase any additional mortgage loans under the warehouse facility if the Company’s long-term unsecured debt ratings fall below BB+ by Standard & Poors (“S&P”) or Fitch or below Ba1 by Moody’s Investors Service (“Moody’s”). The Company’s long-term unsecured debt is currently rated BBB- by S&P, BBB by Fitch and Ba1 by Moody’s. CTX Mortgage Company, LLC may also seek to enter into additional mortgage warehouse facilities with other lenders. Borrowings under the warehouse facility constitute short-term debt of Financial Services.

CTX Mortgage Company, LLC bears the credit risk associated with loans originated until such loans are sold to third parties. In connection with the loans it originates and sells to third parties, CTX Mortgage Company, LLC makes representations and warranties to the effect that each mortgage loan sold satisfies the criteria of the sale agreement. CTX Mortgage Company, LLC may be required to repurchase mortgage loans sold to third parties if such mortgage loans are determined to breach the representations and warranties of CTX Mortgage Company, LLC, as seller. CTX Mortgage Company, LLC records a liability for its estimated losses for these obligations and such amount is included in its loan origination reserve.