Our Apple Analysis This Week - This Comp…

27-03-2017 Hits:385 BoomBustBlog Reggie Middleton

Our Apple Analysis This Week - This Company Is Not What Most Think It IS

We will releasing our Apple forensic analysis and valuation this week for subscribers (click here to subscribe - lowest tier is the same as a Netflix subscription). As can be...

Read more

The Country's First Newly Elected Lame D…

27-03-2017 Hits:752 BoomBustBlog Reggie Middleton

The Country's First Newly Elected Lame Duck President Will Cause Massive Reversal Of Speculative Gains

Note: Subscribers should reference  the paywall material here for stocks that should give a good risk/reward scenario for bearish trades. The Trump administration's legislative outlook is effectively a political desert, with...

Read more

Sears Finally Throws In The Towel Exactl…

22-03-2017 Hits:1737 BoomBustBlog Reggie Middleton

Sears Finally Throws In The Towel Exactly When I Predicted "has ‘substantial doubt’ about its future"

My prediction of Sears collapsing once interest rates started ticking upwards was absolutely on point.

Read more

The Transformation of Television in Amer…

21-03-2017 Hits:1984 BoomBustBlog Reggie Middleton

The Transformation of Television in America and Worldwide

TV has changed more in the past 10 years than it has since it's inception nearly 100 years ago This change is profound, and the primary benefactors look and act...

Read more

It's the Real Estate Crash That I Warned…

20-03-2017 Hits:2465 BoomBustBlog Reggie Middleton

It's the Real Estate Crash That I Warned You About (again)

I've issued several warnings late last year warning of the real estate bubble peaking and popping. I feel I'm especially qualified to do such since I quite accurately called the...

Read more

When It Comes Time To Show and Prove, Eq…

20-03-2017 Hits:2095 BoomBustBlog Reggie Middleton

When It Comes Time To Show and Prove, Equity Markets May Drop Hard

The markets have gotten euphoric since the Trump election, apparently because someone believed what he was selling. Take a look at the broad market jump (powered greatly by the bank...

Read more

So, Brexit Is Now Almost Official. Is Th…

20-03-2017 Hits:1093 BoomBustBlog Reggie Middleton

Note: All downloadable legacy content is for subscribers only. We currently have a sale for $11 per month for basic access. Professional subscribers are now evevated to have direct access...

Read more

In Less Than Two Weeks, Another Bitcoin …

17-03-2017 Hits:2951 BoomBustBlog Reggie Middleton

In Less Than Two Weeks, Another Bitcoin ETF Faces SEC Deadline - It's Denial Is NOT A Bearish Event

LedgerX's "SOLIDX BITCOIN TRUST" has an approval deadline this March 30th, 2017.If it is approved, Bitcoin is due for one hell of a bump, but...  

Read more

The Fed Raises Rates While Still Baby Fe…

17-03-2017 Hits:2685 BoomBustBlog Reggie Middleton

The Fed Raises Rates While Still Baby Feeding the MBS Market With Billions in Monthly Purchases

The Fed has raised rates, officially making real what was mere signaling of the end of its expansionary era... Or is it? You see, from a practical perspective, QE is...

Read more

A Bitcoin ETF or Similar Regulated Insti…

16-03-2017 Hits:3260 BoomBustBlog Reggie Middleton

A Bitcoin ETF or Similar Regulated Institutional Vehicle is a Forgone Conclusion - What Happens Next?

Someone with over 53 years on Wall Street sent me this article from Lex of the Financial Times...

Read more

Why the Winelvoss Bitcoin ETF Was Reject…

13-03-2017 Hits:4074 BoomBustBlog Reggie Middleton

Why the Winelvoss Bitcoin ETF Was Rejected and How to Create a Regulated Vehicle That Passes Muster

 The Winkelvoss ETF application was rejected by the SEC, and bitcoin dropped about 20% in price. I repetitively warned those that followed me that a very low risk buying opportunity...

Read more

Trump Calls Obama's Policies On Russia W…

10-03-2017 Hits:3717 BoomBustBlog Reggie Middleton

 Donald Trump's recent Tweet discusses how Russia has gotten stronger at the behest of President Obama.   For eight years Russia "ran over" President Obama, got stronger and stronger, picked-off Crimea and...

Read more

If you remember, I had a rather poignant critique of Hovnanian's Deal of the Century, and their financial results for the last quarter. As a quick recap, Hovnanian's CEO said that they have "gross" sold (whatever the hell that means) XXX so many houses and the price slashing event was so successful, blah, blah, blah. I was quite skeptical, to say the least. Don't get me wrong, I do not want to belittle a family business that is on the ropes. Far be it from that, I am proud of family businesses - BUT, credibility is the key here. You lose credibility if you reliably spout BS, especially the sort of BS that is easily discernible. That is the case we have here. This is contrasted by Toll's CEO, who is much more pessimistic, at least publicly, than HOV's CEO - despite the fact that his company is in a much better financial position. It appears as if TOL's CEO is a class act. I have nothing against any of these guys, but you really do need to be careful of the hype and hyperbole when you want serious financial types to take you, well,,, seriously! There is no need for me to comment further. Simply read the news piece that describes the press release below.

Upscale U.S. home builder Hovnanian Enterprises Inc (HOV)) said on Tuesday fourth-quarter net contracts and home deliveries fell, while cancellations rose amid the housing market's decline.

The company also said the sales pace in October in most of its markets "significantly deteriorated" when compared with recent months, but shares rose 1.8 percent as the company also moved to shore up its balance sheet.

Tighter credit standards brought on by defaults in the subprime mortgage market, a glut of homes for sale and buyer concern about economic weakness have home builders scrambling to strengthen their balance sheets to weather the market decline, which began more than 18 months ago.

 

Hovnanian said preliminary fourth-quarter results showed net contracts fell 10 percent to 2,781 homes, while deliveries slid 19 percent to 3,969 homes.

The figures for both exclude home deliveries from unconsolidated joint ventures.

The Red Bank, New Jersey-based company said cancellations for the quarter that ended Oct. 31, were 40 percent of gross contracts, up from 35 percent in the previous quarter as well as the year-ago quarter.

Hovnanian blamed the higher cancellation rate on the inability of some customers to obtain loans due to the tightening of mortgage underwriting standards.