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Wednesday, 12 December 2007 | Reggie Middleton

I have decided to keep pumping as much of my preliminary research as possible to the blog for free. Please read and accept the disclaimer below. In addition to the disclaimer, I want to add that this...
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Interesting Response to the Government Homebuilder Bailout

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Written by Reggie Middleton   
Tuesday, 26 February 2008

Hat tip to BoomBustBlog member Christopher Alleva contributing this interest comment on my Homebuilder Bailout post.

From 2002 to 2006 these Builders reported taxable income of $52 billion, based on a 39.3% tax rate, these builders have paid more than $20 billion in taxes during this period. So far these builders are reporting $10.6 billion in pretax losses for 2007. Under current law, they can only claim refunds for taxes paid in 2005 and 2006, $10.7 billion at the 39.3% rate, which means collectively they've run out of carryback losses for future years, including 2008. Each builder's tax position is unique but to the extent they claim refunds they may consider writing down or selling assets to realize the losses. The nation''s largest builder, Lennar has been most aggressive on this front claiming more than $3 billion in losses for 2007 allowing them to claim most of $1.2 billion in taxes they paid in 2005 and 2006.

Based on my calculations, extending the loss carryback period to 5 years would make an additional $10.8 billion available for refunds, not an inconsiderable sum. This analysis only shows the 15 largest builders. These builders account for roughly 33% of the market. Extrapolating these results to the complete universe of builders, extending the carryback period 3 years would yield a tax benefit of nearly $33 billion industry-wide. Putting this in perspective, in 2006, the Treasury Department reported $354 billion in corporate tax receipts. Had the builders won this tax break, the lobbying cost amounts to such a small fraction as to be indistinguishable from 0.
See chart below...

 

Click on the chart to enlarge and clarify.

public_homebuilders_tax_analysis.png

 

 

 



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written by William Peyton, February 27, 2008
Excellent analysis, Christopher.

It sure makes $500/Hr lobbyists look like an excellent investment. Do you know who blocked this effort? Whoever it was, they deserve an anti-corruption public service award.

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