Sears Finally Throws In The Towel Exactl…

22-03-2017 Hits:879 BoomBustBlog Reggie Middleton

Sears Finally Throws In The Towel Exactly When I Predicted "has ‘substantial doubt’ about its future"

My prediction of Sears collapsing once interest rates started ticking upwards was absolutely on point.

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The Transformation of Television in Amer…

21-03-2017 Hits:1087 BoomBustBlog Reggie Middleton

The Transformation of Television in America and Worldwide

TV has changed more in the past 10 years than it has since it's inception nearly 100 years ago This change is profound, and the primary benefactors look and act...

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It's the Real Estate Crash That I Warned…

20-03-2017 Hits:1552 BoomBustBlog Reggie Middleton

It's the Real Estate Crash That I Warned You About (again)

I've issued several warnings late last year warning of the real estate bubble peaking and popping. I feel I'm especially qualified to do such since I quite accurately called the...

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When It Comes Time To Show and Prove, Eq…

20-03-2017 Hits:1330 BoomBustBlog Reggie Middleton

When It Comes Time To Show and Prove, Equity Markets May Drop Hard

The markets have gotten euphoric since the Trump election, apparently because someone believed what he was selling. Take a look at the broad market jump (powered greatly by the bank...

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So, Brexit Is Now Almost Official. Is Th…

20-03-2017 Hits:618 BoomBustBlog Reggie Middleton

Note: All downloadable legacy content is for subscribers only. We currently have a sale for $11 per month for basic access. Professional subscribers are now evevated to have direct access...

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In Less Than Two Weeks, Another Bitcoin …

17-03-2017 Hits:2110 BoomBustBlog Reggie Middleton

In Less Than Two Weeks, Another Bitcoin ETF Faces SEC Deadline - It's Denial Is NOT A Bearish Event

LedgerX's "SOLIDX BITCOIN TRUST" has an approval deadline this March 30th, 2017.If it is approved, Bitcoin is due for one hell of a bump, but...  

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The Fed Raises Rates While Still Baby Fe…

17-03-2017 Hits:1951 BoomBustBlog Reggie Middleton

The Fed Raises Rates While Still Baby Feeding the MBS Market With Billions in Monthly Purchases

The Fed has raised rates, officially making real what was mere signaling of the end of its expansionary era... Or is it? You see, from a practical perspective, QE is...

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A Bitcoin ETF or Similar Regulated Insti…

16-03-2017 Hits:2498 BoomBustBlog Reggie Middleton

A Bitcoin ETF or Similar Regulated Institutional Vehicle is a Forgone Conclusion - What Happens Next?

Someone with over 53 years on Wall Street sent me this article from Lex of the Financial Times...

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Why the Winelvoss Bitcoin ETF Was Reject…

13-03-2017 Hits:3311 BoomBustBlog Reggie Middleton

Why the Winelvoss Bitcoin ETF Was Rejected and How to Create a Regulated Vehicle That Passes Muster

 The Winkelvoss ETF application was rejected by the SEC, and bitcoin dropped about 20% in price. I repetitively warned those that followed me that a very low risk buying opportunity...

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Trump Calls Obama's Policies On Russia W…

10-03-2017 Hits:2986 BoomBustBlog Reggie Middleton

 Donald Trump's recent Tweet discusses how Russia has gotten stronger at the behest of President Obama.   For eight years Russia "ran over" President Obama, got stronger and stronger, picked-off Crimea and...

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SNAP's Greed Derived Self-Inflicted Woun…

08-03-2017 Hits:4047 BoomBustBlog Reggie Middleton

SNAP's Greed Derived Self-Inflicted Wounds Continue to Manifest

The day before the SNAP IPO, I penned "Goldman Sachs & Morgan Stanley Pull Off the Heist of the Decade, Bends Over Those Who Don't Read BoomBustBlog". Despite being rather...

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Bitcoin Is Reaching the Point of No Retu…

08-03-2017 Hits:3777 BoomBustBlog Reggie Middleton

Bitcoin Is Reaching the Point of No Return - Buy Side Should Take Note

Many bitcoin aficionados are waiting with baited breath as the SEC is to announce by this Friday whether they will approve the first registered bitcoin ETF. This is not the...

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From CNBC.com:

Retail Property Has Worst Second Quarter in 30 Years

"U.S. store closings and cutbacks turned the second quarter into the worst for strip mall owners in 30 years, as budget-conscious consumers flocked to low-cost warehouse-style grocery centers, according to a report by real estate research firm Reis. Strip malls, which are usually anchored by grocery or drug stores, saw average vacancies spike 0.5 percentage points to 8.2 percent, a level unseen since 1995, according to the report released on Monday. Vacancies at regional malls rose 0.4 percentage points to 6.3 percent, the highest level since the first quarter of 2002, according to the preliminary results."This has GGP's name written all over it. If you haven'thad the pleasure, peruse the GGP tome - GGP and the type of investigative analysis you will not get from your brokerage house. GGP is probably the most overvalued and debt laden commercial REIT that I know of.


 I have been warning of this occurance since September of last year. GGP is in a vary precarious position, with signficant lease turnover in an ever increasingly soft market, recession looming and pressuring the retail mall front and vendor business models, and most importantly a collapsed credit market (see "Reggie Middleton on the Asset Securitization Crisis" latest installment) at a time when they need to refinance billions of dollars of high LTV debt ASAP.


A growing list of retailers shuttered stores ahead of lease expirations or chose not to renew leases, and as newly completed space hit the market without signed tenants.

Starbucks cnbc_quoteComponent_init_getData("sbux","WSODQ_COMPONENT_SBUX_ID0E4G15839609","WSODQ","true","ID0E4G15839609","off","false"); recently said it would close 600 stores by March. GAP is looking to give up some of the 40 million square feet of retail space its leases. That's in addition to the growing list of retailers, such as Linen 'n Things and Goody's Family Clothing, which filed for bankruptcy protection.

STARBUCKS CORP
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Consumers are constrained by increases in food and energy costs, as well as the cost of servicing debt run up during the housing boom. In addition to cutting back on clothing, jewelry and nonessentials, they have turned to lower-price grocers such as Wal-Mart cnbc_quoteComponent_init_getData("wmt","WSODQ_COMPONENT_WMT_ID0EEJAC15839609","WSODQ","true","ID0EEJAC15839609","off","false"); at the expense of the upper end usually found at strip malls, such as Whole Foods Market Reis said.

 
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WHOLE FOODS MKT INC
WFMI

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WAL MART STORES INC
WMT

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 Preliminary figures show that regional malls were barely able to raise rents, with just an anemic 0.2 percent rise excluding concessions, its weakest gain since the second quarter.