|
I'm pissed off at myself. I broke one of my own cardinal rules and allowed my personal account to fall below my nominally appointed 110% annualized return benchmark. It is no one's fault but my own and will probably be rectified by month's end, but it does prompt me to proof against it happening again. So, I'm back to the lab. I will be sharing bits and pieces with the blog, so stay tuned. In a nutshell the US banking system is @#$#, those CEOs who say that the worst is behind us... Are you sure about that?
I think we may be revisiting the '30's, albeit with more foresight from the Fed, but more downward pressure from global macro perspective. It will be interesting who wins this tug of war, but in the end I fear moral hazard my reign supreme.
Recessions
| Name |
Dates |
Duration |
Comments |
References |
| Panic of 1797 |
1797–1800 |
&&&&&&&&&&&&&&03.&&&&&03 years |
The effects of the deflation of the Bank of England crossed the Atlantic Ocean to North America and disrupted commercial and real estate markets in the United States colonies and the Caribbean. Britain's economy was greatly affected by developing disflationary repercussions because it was fighting France in the French Revolutionary Wars at the time. |
[6] |
| Depression of 1807 |
1807–1814 |
&&&&&&&&&&&&&&07.&&&&&07 years |
The Embargo Act of 1807 was passed by the United States Congress under President Thomas Jefferson. It devastated shipping-related industries. The Federalists fought the embargo and allowed smuggling to take place in New England. |
[7][8] |
| Panic of 1819 |
1819–1824 |
&&&&&&&&&&&&&&05.&&&&&05 years |
The first major financial crisis in the United States featured widespread foreclosures, bank failures, unemployment, and a slump in agriculture and manufacturing. It also marked the end of the economic expansion that followed the War of 1812. |
[9][10] |
| Panic of 1837 |
1837–1843 |
&&&&&&&&&&&&&&06.&&&&&06 years |
A sharp downturn in the American economy was caused by bank failures and lack of confidence in the paper currency. Speculation markets were greatly affected when American banks stopped payment in specie (gold and silver coinage). |
[11] |
| Panic of 1857 |
1857–1860 |
&&&&&&&&&&&&&&03.&&&&&03 years |
Failure of the Ohio Life Insurance and Trust Company burst a European speculative bubble in United States railroads and caused a loss of confidence in American banks.
Over 5,000 businesses failed within the first year of the Panic, and
unemployment was accompanied by protest meetings in urban areas. |
[12] |
| Panic of 1873 |
1873–1879 |
&&&&&&&&&&&&&&06.&&&&&06 years |
Economic problems in Europe prompted the failure of the Jay Cooke & Company, the largest bank in the United States, which bursted the post-Civil War speculative bubble. The Coinage Act of 1873 also contributed by immediately depressing the price of silver, which hurt North American mining interests. |
[13] |
| Long Depression |
1873–1896 |
&&&&&&&&&&&&&023.&&&&&023 years |
The collapse of the Vienna Stock Exchange
caused a depression that spread throughout the world. It is important
to note that during this period, the global industrial production
greatly increased. In the United States, for example, industrial output
increased fourfold. |
[14] |
| Panic of 1893 |
1893–1896 |
&&&&&&&&&&&&&&03.&&&&&03 years |
Failure of the United States Reading Railroad
and withdrawal of European investment lead to a stock market and
banking collapse. This Panic was also precipitated in part by a run on the gold supply. |
[15] |
| Panic of 1907 |
1907–1908 |
&&&&&&&&&&&&&&01.&&&&&01 year |
A run on Knickerbocker Trust Company stock on October 22, 1907 set events in motion that would later lead to the Great Depression in the United States. |
[16] |
| Post-World War I recession |
1918–1921 |
&&&&&&&&&&&&&&03.&&&&&03 years |
Severe hyperinflation
in Europe took place over production in North America. It was a brief,
but very sharp recession and was caused by the end of wartime
production, along with an influx of labor from returning troops. This
in turn caused high unemployment. |
[17] |
| Great Depression |
1929–1939 |
&&&&&&&&&&&&&010.&&&&&010 years |
Stock markets crashed worldwide, and a banking collapse took place
in the United States. This sparked a global downturn, including a
second, more minor recession in the United States, the Recession of 1937. |
[18] |
| Recession of 1953 |
1953–1954 |
&&&&&&&&&&&&&&01.&&&&&01 year |
After a post-Korean War inflationary period, more funds were transferred into national security. The Federal Reserve changed fiscal policy to be more restrictive in 1952 due to fears of further inflation. |
[19][20] |
| Recession of 1957 |
1957–1958 |
&&&&&&&&&&&&&&01.&&&&&01 year |
Monetary policy was tightened during the two years preceding 1957,
followed by an easing of policy at the end of 1957. The budget balance
resulted in a change in budget surplus of 0.8% of GDP in 1957 to a
budget deficit of 0.6% of GDP in 1958, and then to 2.6% of GDP in 1959. |
[21] |
| 1973 oil crisis |
1973–1975 |
&&&&&&&&&&&&&&02.&&&&&02 years |
A quadrupling of oil prices by OPEC coupled with high government spending due to the Vietnam War lead to stagflation in the United States. |
[22] |
| Early 1980s recession |
1980–1982 |
&&&&&&&&&&&&&&02.&&&&&02 years |
The Iranian Revolution sharply increased the price of oil around the world in 1979, causing the 1979 energy crisis. This was caused by the new regime in power in Iran, which exported oil at inconsistent intervals and at a lower volume, forcing prices to go up. Tight monetary policy in the United States to control inflation
lead to another recession. The changes were made largely because of
inflation that was carried over from the previous decade due to the 1973 oil crisis and the 1979 energy crisis. |
[23][24] |
| Early 1990s recession |
1990–1991 |
&&&&&&&&&&&&&&01.&&&&&01 year |
Industrial production and manufacturing-trade sales decreased in early 1991. |
[25] |
| Early 2000s recession |
2001–2003 |
&&&&&&&&&&&&&&02.&&&&&02 years |
The collapse of the dot-com bubble, the September 11th attacks, and accounting scandals contributed to a relatively mild contraction in the North American economy. |
References
- ^ Carter, Susan B. (2006-01-30). The Historical Statistics of the United States. Cambridge University Press. ISBN 0521817919.
- ^ Hall, Robert (2003-10-21). The NBER's Recession Dating Procedure. National Bureau of Economic Research. Retrieved on 2008-02-29.
- ^ Pelaez, Carlos M. (2007-07-10). Global Recession Risk: Dollar Devaluation and the World Economy. Palgrave Macmillan. ISBN 0230521509.
- ^ Brent Moulton (2003-12-10). Comprehensive Revision of the National Income and Product Accounts 1929 through Second Quarter 2003. Bureau of Economic Analysis. Retrieved on 2008-02-29.
- ^ (2007) The Columbia Electronic Encyclopedia. Columbia University Press.
- ^ Chew,
Richard S. (2005-12). "Certain Victims of an International Contagion:
The Panic of 1797 and the Hard Times of the Late 1790s in Baltimore". Journal of the Early Republic.
- ^ Watkins, Thayer. The Depression of 1807-1814 in the U.S.. San Jose State University Department of Economics. Retrieved on 2008-02-29.
- ^ Newbold, Ken (2005-03-16). Embargo Act Commentary. James Madison Center. Retrieved on 2008-02-29.
- ^ Morris, Richard B. (1987). The Forging of the Union, 1781-1789. Harpercollins Childrens Books. ISBN 0060914246.
- ^ Rothbard, Murray N. (2007-04-10). Panic of 1819 Reactions and Policies. Ludwig von Mises Institute. ISBN 1933550082.
- ^ Morris, Charles (1902). The Great Republic By the Master Historians- Volumes I,II,III,IV. R.S. Belcher.
- ^ Huston, James L. (1987-12-01). The Panic of 1857 and the Coming of the Civil War. Louisiana State University Press. ISBN 0807124923.
- ^ Foner, Eric (1990-01-10). A Short History of Reconstruction. Harper Perennial. ISBN 0060964316.
- ^ Viner, Jacob (1945-05). "Clapham on the Bank of England". Economica 12 (46): 61-68. doi:10.2307/2549897.
- ^ Appleton, D. (1903). "Appletons' Annual Cyclopædia and Register of Important Events of the Year". University of Virginia.
- ^ Bruner, Robert F. (2007-08-31). The Panic of 1907: Lessons Learned from the Market's Perfect Storm. Wiley. ISBN 047015263X.
- ^ Goldberg, David J. (1999-01-15). Discontented America: The United States in the 1920s. The Johns Hopkins University Press. ISBN 0801860040.
- ^ Rothbard, Murray N. (2000-06-15). America's Great Depression. Ludwig Von Mises Institute. ISBN 0945466056.
- ^ Dell, S. (1957-06). "The United States Recession of 1953/54: A Comment". The Economic Journal 67 (266): 338-339. doi:10.2307/2227810.
- ^ Holmans, A. E. (1958-02). "The Eisenhower Administration and the Recession, 1953-5". Oxford Economic Papers 10 (1): 34-54.
- ^ Labonte, Marc (2002-01-10). The Current Economic Recession. Congressional Research Service. Retrieved on 2008-03-05.
- ^ Merrill, Karen R. (2007-02-22). The Oil Crisis of 1973-1974: A Brief History with Documents. Bedford/St. Martin's. ISBN 0312409222.
- ^ Oil Squeeze. TIME (1979-02-05). Retrieved on 2008-02-29.
- ^ Rattner, Steven (1981-01-05). Federal Reserve sees little growth in '81 with continued high rates. New York Times. Retrieved on 2008-02-29.
- ^ NBER Business Cycle Dating Committee Determines that Recession Ended in March 1991. NBER. Retrieved on 2008-03-04.
- ^ Henderson, Neil (2004-01-22). Economists Say Recession Started in 2000. The Washington Post. Retrieved on 2008-02-29.
Source: wikipedia
Trackback(0)
 
|
TrackBack URI for this entry
Subscribe to this comment's feed
http://homepage.mac.com/ttsmyf/RD_RJShomes_PSav.html