3 day old fish does smell pretty bad, regardless of where you put it

Posted by: Reggie Middleton in Investment BanksFinancial Shenanigans on Print PDF

Reggie Middleton

Well that's not good news. We were asked yesterday if the Day of Reckoning for the banks and brokers has been postponed by Fed action. The trouble is these Level Three assets aren't going away. The banks, the Fed, and the brokers hope that by letting these sleeping dogs lie, they will eventually wake up and not be any particular harm to anyone.

They hope that by stashing the loans out of sight, investors will stop worrying about them and get back to buying stocks. But three-day old fish doesn't get fresher or more appetizing just because you've hidden the refrigerator in the back room. Yet that seems to be the solution pursued by the Fed and the banks.

Instead of chucking out the garbage loans, the Fed wants to put all the garbage in a hermetically sealed room deep in the bowels of its offices in New York. But just because you can't see something doesn't mean it's stopped stinking.

Eventually, we reckon the Feds will approve of, or even create, new off-balance sheet vehicles for banks to keep these garbage loans in. The loans won't count against the bank's capital requirements. And like a bad memory, the bad loans will be forgotten, sequestered away in their own quiet little cavern like so much captured carbon dioxide.

But this unwillingness to deal directly with the bad loan problem and write down the value of level three assets does not bode well for the U.S. dollar or dollar denominated assets.

Dan Denning
The Daily Reckoning Australia

 


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JoeD: ...
Hello Reggie,
Mmmm...those house prices dont seem so bad compared with the UK. On your graphs looks like the average of the average is about 3.5. Here the multiple is 7. Nuts.
Walking away from mortgages is much more difficult so I see less pain for the banks on that account here than in the US... but far more collateral damage to the economy as a whole through reduced economic activity as this corrects.
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April 14, 2008
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Windez: Great Story - Here's Some Backstory to Corroborate
An eye opener of a posting. I did the L3/Mkt Cap math and it's scary. Then I found some backstory in this Asia Times article from last November underscoring your points exactly. It's here at http://www.atimes.com/atimes/G...3Dj03.html

Enjoy!

Just discovered this blog and like what I see.
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April 14, 2008
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Silver Bear: ...
Seems like all my new "must read blogs" become famous soon after I start reading them. Housing Bubble 2, Irvine Housing Blog, Mish Shedlock, and now Boombustblog. I noticed Daily Reckoning snagged Mish recently. And you would be a great addition too.
In any case thanks for such incredible research, the kind I've been looking for since I moved my IRA to an options friendly house (puts included).
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May 11, 2008
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