Is Bitcoin Too Risky? Whenever the Bitco…

12-01-2017 Hits:1018 BoomBustBlog Reggie Middleton

Is Bitcoin Too Risky? Whenever the Bitcoin is Mentioned in Financial Pop Media, Ignorance Ensues

I hate to be the one to break bad news to you, but most of the pop media/mainstream media financial pundits that I hear and see opine on bitcoin have...

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What Happens When Rates Rise While the S…

10-01-2017 Hits:555 BoomBustBlog Reggie Middleton

What Happens When Rates Rise While the S&P 500 Relies on Cheap Credit To Boost EPS?

So, the stock market, bond market and real estate markets are all at all-time highs. Everything is Awesome! You know better than that. You see, when the bond market wakes...

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Debt Encumbered Oil, Sovereign Soil, Toi…

10-01-2017 Hits:463 BoomBustBlog Reggie Middleton

Debt Encumbered Oil, Sovereign Soil, Toil & Trouble: Can't You Hear Seems Cracking in the OPEC Empire?

@WSJ reports Libya Ramping Up Oil Production, Threatening OPEC (supposed) Plans to lift global oil place by artificially limiting supply. This would be in violation of federal antii-trust laws in the...

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Ten Years Since BoomBustBlog Was 1st Pub…

09-01-2017 Hits:768 BoomBustBlog Reggie Middleton

Ten Years Since BoomBustBlog Was 1st Published & That Initial Research Still Relevant Today

We have looked into insurance companies' performance last month in regards to our bearish real estate thesis. A small comederie of companies are suffering losses and/or declining profits as we've exected....

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The Macro Truth About The Big Bitcoin Po…

07-01-2017 Hits:926 BoomBustBlog Reggie Middleton

Bitcoin has dropped precipitously, and as is usual, we have the cacophony of instant digital currency pundits cackling about as if they had a clue. This is the inaugural post...

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To Bust or Not To Bust: Are We In A Real…

04-01-2017 Hits:641 BoomBustBlog Reggie Middleton

To Bust or Not To Bust: Are We In A Real Estate Bubble?

Banks are showing thin NIM, yet many of the big banks are able to boast stable if not slightly improving credit metrics. This doesn’t make sense considering the explosive growth...

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What Happens To Real Asset Lending Banks…

03-01-2017 Hits:493 BoomBustBlog Reggie Middleton

What Happens To Real Asset Lending Banks When the Real Funding Rate Appears? We're About to Find Out

During the financial crisis of 2008, money market funds who subjectively agreed to hold their NAV (net asset value) unit prices at $1 “broke the buck”. That is, the unit...

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Stress Test on Banks’ Earnings Facing th…

30-06-2014 Hits:44606 BoomBustBlog Reggie Middleton

Stress Test on Banks’ Earnings Facing the Veritaseum UltraCoin Value Transaction Platform

My last post on the topic of disintermediation during a paradigm shift was Wall Street Should Be First To Invest In Reggie Middleton's UltraCoin, Much Of It Won't Be Here In...

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Introducing the "Unbreakable Promis…

09-06-2014 Hits:39449 BoomBustBlog Reggie Middleton

Introducing the "Unbreakable Promise" As a Method Increasing Efficiencies and Decreasing Risk

Continuing on the margin compression theme originally laid out in Margin Compression Is Coming in the Payment Processing Space As $100 Million Pours Into Startups, I illustrate mathematically how the bit...

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Bitcoin (and Apple) Mythbusting 101

04-06-2014 Hits:40351 BoomBustBlog Reggie Middleton

Bitcoin (and Apple) Mythbusting 101

Yesterday, I did a radio interview with Benzinga. In it I busted myths about Apple, Bitcoin and Coins in general (ABCs). Listen to the interview below and the info sheets...

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Bitcoin (and Apple) Mythbusting 101

04-06-2014 Hits:44936 BoomBustBlog Reggie Middleton

Bitcoin (and Apple) Mythbusting 101

Yesterday, I did a radio interview with Benzinga. In it I busted myths about Apple, Bitcoin and Coins in general (ABCs). Listen to the interview below and the info sheets...

Read more

Margin Compression Is Coming in the Paym…

21-05-2014 Hits:45543 BoomBustBlog Reggie Middleton

Margin Compression Is Coming in the Payment Processing Space As $100 Million Pours Into Startups

After an interesting discussion with those in my laboratory, I've decided to apply the forensic analysis team from BoomBustBlog to the privately funded companies in the Bitcoin space. See my...

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Ryland filed it's 10Q yesterday, and as I thought, they are running very thin on cash. They reported $85 million of cash in their press release, but failed to mention in that same release that much of the money came from drawing down $117 million from a credit line. Without the credit line draw down they would have ended the quarter with negative cash generated. They would save about $75 million a quarter if they stopped trying to fool those that may not know better by buying their stock back and issuing dividends. That money is much, much better used in marketing to take sales share from their competitors, or even offering incentives to get people to buy houses. Which which you rather have as a shareholder, a piece of a percent greater accretion from the stock buyback and a few pennies dividend, or a company that successfully reduces it's overpriced, high carrying cost inventory or reduces it's life threatening debt?

As a little tiny aside, they noted that they lost an additional $37.3 million on option contracts, which they classified as a non-cash charge. Sure it's non-cash this quarter from an accounting perspective, because they wasted the cash in past quarters. Remember, the cash flow statements have the impairment charges added back in, even though the impairments are still representative of cash gone, just cash from previous periods - and ultimately value from the company.

Of course, the entire beleaguered sector is trading up as I type this, including Ryland - currently at $25.85, up $0.35. Using book value comparables, it comps out to about $13.66. Obviously, there are those who haven't read my last two posts on Ryland. The disconnect between Ryland's actual value and its current momentum driven market price exists. If you think the Ryland research was interesting, you'll probably love what I come up with on Lennar, and be mildly amused with the analysis on MBIA, the monoline insurer, first mentioned as suspect on this blog in September.