CNBC reports US home prices rise 5.9 percent to 31-month high in January according to S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller. This puts the 20 city index close to an all time high, including the 2007 bubble.

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Published in BoomBustBlog
Monday, 14 September 2009 20:00

Leading Indicators

 U.S. Credit-Card Defaults Resume Ascent as Unemployment Worsens

JPMorgan Chase & Co., Bank of America Corp. and Citigroup Inc., the biggest U.S. credit- card lenders, said defaults climbed in August as the unemployment rate jumped and the impact of tax refunds waned.

American Express Co. was the only one of six card-issuers releasing data today to report an improvement in the rate of both defaults and delinquencies, a signal of future write-offs.

The industry’s data may signal that the second quarter’s improvement will be short-lived as tax refunds and federal efforts to stimulate the economy run out. Defaults tend to track the jobless rate, which dipped in July for the first time since the start of the recession before resuming its climb to 9.7 percent in August.

 The crisis—one year on: McKinsey Global Economic Conditions Survey results, September 2009

A year after the global economic system nearly collapsed, many companies are finally finding ways to increase profits under the new economic conditions. But almost as many expect profits to continue falling, and executives also indicate that their broader economic hopes remain fragile. Many expect more government involvement in economies and industries over the long term.

September 2009MetroMonitor: Tracking Economic Recession and Recovery in America’s 100 Largest Metropolitan Areas

 The American economy continued to weaken during the months of April, May, and June 2009, but it was no longer in free fall. Employment remained on a downward path—the nation lost nearly 1.3 million jobs during those three months alone—and by June, the national unemployment rate had reached its highest rate in more than 15 years, at 9.5 percent. But the pace of economic decline also slowed during the second quarter. Real Gross Domestic Product (GDP) shrank at an annualized rate of 1 percent, far less than the 6.4 percent rate of contraction during the first quarter of the year. And signs began to emerge that the housing market was stabilizing, with sales of both new and existing single-family homes rising throughout the spring.

Notice how employment change seems to track residential real estate pricing weakness throughout the country...