I will start posting more news topics of interest and welcome readers to forward research and investment ideas at will. Here is the crop from last week. I will post topics from the weekend later on today, and as usual will randomly comment on daily news events.

From Alliance Bernstein:

  • Core Intermediate Producer Prices have taken 6 months to rise 5.2% annualized, recession of 2002 took 2 years to reach same level
  • Operating Rate hit low of 65.4% last year and has only risen to 69.4%, still short of historical threshold causing rise in raw material prices (74%)
  • Increases in foreign operating rates have started to indicate US may now be a price follower instead of price leader
  • The Fed cited lack of resource utilization as reasoning for maintaining record low rates, as these concerns begin to wane Alliance Bernstein sees easing of emergency Fed policy

Bloomberg.com:

  • Christina Romer, Peter Orszag, and Tim Geithner have predicted unemployment will settle in 2010 at around 9.7%, citing poor job conditions
  • Federal deficit projections for 2011 & 2015 are $1.5 trillion & $751 billion respectively, White House officials cite Bush's medicare and income tax cuts for allowing deficit insanity
Published in BoomBustBlog
Friday, 24 October 2008 02:00

It's every nation for themselves, now

First the US bankers threw as much garbage at the world as they could lift, with the US ratings agencies throwing perfume on the trash mid-flight to manage the "stank". Then the Irish guaranteed their bank deposits to an unheard of limit, basically giving the middle finger to the other European banking authorities (you see, money flowed to the "perceived safety of government backed bank funds from an already weakened UK and EU banking system), and now OPEC is cutting product in an effort to elevate oil prices amid a guaranteed global recession. Another "eff you" to the world.

Most people don't realize that in the grand scheme of things, oil has not really went down in price. It is exactly where it was in the summer of 2007 when I first contemplated the contracts. The OPEC nations have went on a "subprime like" debt driven spending binge, and need the petrodollars to keep flowing to support the facade that they are trying to build.

Published in BoomBustBlog