Itlays IMF erroneous forecastsI've been warning about Italy's troubled banks since 2010, and last year I pushed two very detailed reports about what was essentially Italy's Bear Stearns and Lehman Brothers. Italy is a mess and the IMF and EC have been too optimistic regarding its prospects for 7 years (not just lately), see Lies, Damn Lies, and Sovereign Truths: Why the Euro is Destined to Collapse! Fast foward to today and Bloomberg reports: Italy Approves $21 Billion Fund to Shore Up Its Troubled Banks

Italy’s parliament approved a law to plow as much as 20 billion euros ($21 billion) into Banca Monte dei Paschi di Siena SpA and other troubled lenders as part of the nation’s efforts to revamp its banking industry.

 

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After my many, many warnings about Donald Trump and his administration (I'll list those a little later)... It's official, Fitch has actually warned that the Trump administration is detrimental to sovereign ratings around the world. Keep in mind that we are in this world.

Fitch says Trump bad credit risk

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It’s being reported by Sputnik News and other sources that Japan has declared Bitcoin to be legal tender. Unfortunately, I have not been able to quickly confirm this through Japanese sources. The use of BTC as legal tender in one of the world’s leading economies is a big plus for Bitcoin, and likely to lead to a much more rapid pace of adoption. Volume is strong on increasing price.

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One month ago I walked through the macro influences behind Bitcoin's price pop and drop in "The Macro Truth About The Big Bitcoin Pop and Drop: The Mainstream Media Doesn't Have A Clue". Well, we're close to the peak again at $1,157.77 per coin, and the macro scene still holds a lot of explanation....

BTC 2 7 17

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Continuing the conversation of whether it's time to short America, we investigate the administration's plans for protectionism and a tax holiday for corporate capital repatriation. The first question that needs to be asked is, "Who benefits from this, and why do they want it done?"

thumb Trump economic netowrk

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Last week I queried "Is Bitcoin the Undisputed Best Performing Asset Class In the World?". The purpose of that piece and the piece before it was to debunk long standing misconceptions as to the actual investment performance of BTC (bitcoin) as portrayed by respected institutions such as the London Business School and the Financial Times, not to mention Money Magazine. 

Now, it's time to get into exactly what value propositions are there to support bitcoin's price.BTC price 1 31 17

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Burnt DollarThe animal spirits are whispering... They are calling into question the stability of the US in light of the significant geopolitical uncertainties introduced by the new US administration and how that plays into increasingly unprecedented global macroeconomic forces coming into play as the EU and US achieve their long sought after inflation in a world of negative interest rates and central bank sponsored asset purchases to distort the markets.

These spirits are whispering... Is it time to short the United Stages of America?

 

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 Trump's fiscal stimulus proclamations in addition to his border tax rhetoric puts a definitive boost behind the USD. 

123111

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I hate to be the one to break bad news to you, but most of the pop media/mainstream media financial pundits that I hear and see opine on bitcoin have absolutely no idea what the hell they are talking about.  This article will be the piece that strips the pretense of knowledge away from all of those other "smart guy" media types.

thumb Bitcoin sharpe ratio today

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My last post on the topic of disintermediation during a paradigm shift was Wall Street Should Be First To Invest In Reggie Middleton's UltraCoin, Much Of It Won't Be Here In 10 Years! I clearly illustrated the potential for growth of Bitcoin related companies and cited statistics for the transformation of the financial industry as we know it today.

This post introduces long form research from the analysts at Veritaseum, the same team that brought you the hard hitting BoomBustBlog research. The first page of the report says it all - "Stress Test on Banks’ Earnings Facing the Veritaseum UltraCoin Value Transaction Platform".

research report cover

Excerpts from deeper into the report...

research report 2research report 3

And of course the inevitable... What happens when a less expensive product is introduced into the market with similar or superior attributes? Margin Compression! We analyzed three big Wall Street banks, starting with the "Riskiest Bank on the Street" (time permitting, reference our hard hitting, prescient research from early 2008).

Veritaseum research report on Morgan Stanley Margin Compression

I invite all to download the free Veritasuem Research Report for July 2014. I also invite all to meet me for the soft beta launch of Veritaseum's UltraCoin Value Trading Platform in my suite at the Drake Hotel in downtown Chicago, the evening of Saturday July 19th (this is also the weekend of The North American Bitcoin Conference in Chicago, where I will be speaking on the topic of money center bank disintermediation.

You will get to touch, play with and trade value via UltraCoin. Below is a screenshot of UltraCoin running on a Mac. I will also be taking applications for large scale beta testers and entities who wish to have customized value trading solutions created for them.

Screen Shot 2014-06-26 at 11.05.24 

 
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