Financial, Real Estate, Stock Markets Trends and Current Affairs

  • Follow us on Blogger
  • Follow us on Facebook
  • Follow us on LinkedIn
  • Follow us on Twitter
  • Follow us on Youtube
Tools
A+ R A- wide normal
Login
  • Skip to content
  • Home
  • SUBSCRIBE NOW!
  • Subscription content!
  • Who is Reggie Middleton?
  • Blog
  • Press Room
  • Research and performance
    • Pan-European sovereign debt crisis
    • Asset securitization crisis
    • The mobile computing wars.
  • Contact Us
Friday, 28 December 2007 05:00

Do you remember where I kept saying that the monolines weren't insuring, they were gambling?

  • font size decrease font size decrease font size increase font size increase font size
  • Print
  • E-mail
  • Video
  • Image Gallery
  • Comments (2)
Tweet me!

Dec. 28 (Bloomberg) -- Billionaire investor Warren Buffett is
starting a bond insurer to take U.S. local-government business away
from companies including MBIA Inc. and Ambac Financial Group Inc., the
Wall Street Journal reported.

Berkshire Hathaway Assurance
Corp. opens for business today in New York State, Buffett, chairman of
Omaha, Nebraska-based Berkshire Hathaway Inc., said in an interview
with the newspaper...

Buffett, who said in October he
was looking for investments to absorb $45 billion of cash, is
challenging the bond insurers as they struggle to retain the AAA credit
ratings that allow them to guarantee debt. The top rankings of MBIA,
Ambac and other so-called monolines are under scrutiny amid concern
they don't have enough capital for the $2.4 trillion of debt they
guarantee.

 

``The monolines are hurting so now is a good time for Buffett to be getting into the market,'' said Matthew Maxwell, a London-based credit analyst at Calyon, the investment banking unit of Credit Agricole SA. ``Investors might feel more comfortable investing in bonds insured by Buffett than those backed by an insurer with the legacy of the credit crisis hanging over them.''

Buffett, 77, told the Journal he will also seek permission to operate in California, Puerto Rico, Texas, Illinois and Florida.

Berkshire Hathaway has AAA ratings from Fitch Ratings, Moody's Investors Service and Standard & Poor's and its guarantee would enable municipal bond issuers to cut the cost of financing everything from hospitals to schools to sports stadiums.

Buffett, who said he would charge more than existing financial guarantors, would present competition for Armonk, New York-based MBIA, as well as Ambac and FGIC Corp. of New York, as they try to convince Moody's, Fitch and S&P that they deserve to keep their top ratings. Suuuurrrree they do! Look here icon Ambac Valuationmodel 03december2007 Ver1.0%281%29 (878.65 kB 2007-12-24 15:41:20)

Fitch has given MBIA and Ambac less than six weeks to raise $1 billion each or face losing their AAA ratings. Moody's and S&P earlier month placed MBIA's ranking on negative outlook. MBIA on Dec. 10 said it will get $1 billion from private-equity firm Warburg Pincus LLC to bolster its capital and Ambac took out reinsurance on $29 billion of securities it guarantees. These companies with a mere $2 or $3 billion of capital are struggling to overpay for $1 billion in financing just to keep a rating they don't deserve. How in the world can compete against a $45 billion capitalized, conservative insurer with a sterling track record and reputation? These companies are done, don't even bother to stick a fork in. I told you they were done before, they are extra crispy now for the only new business for them to write is business that they shouldn't write. That Warburg Pincus investment in MBIA is money flushed down the toilet.

`Mass Destruction'

Bonds sold by state governments make up about 33 percent of the insurance premiums collected by MBIA, the biggest of the monolines, and 50 percent of revenue for No. 2 competitor Ambac.

The companies stumbled as they expanded beyond municipal securities into structured finance securities such as collateralized debt obligations, which package pools of bonds and loans and slice them into separate pieces.

Buffett, who has described derivatives as ``financial weapons of mass destruction,'' told the Journal he will focus on insuring municipal debt rather than CDOs.

New York-based monoline ACA Capital Holdings Inc. is struggling to stave off delinquency proceedings after the value of the CDOs it guaranteed plunged. S&P cut ACA's rating by 12 levels to CCC after the company posted a $1.04 billion third- quarter loss.

ACA Financial Guaranty Corp., a unit of ACA Capital, said this week it will seek approval from the Maryland Insurance Administration before pledging or assigning assets or paying dividends.

Smelling Opportunity

Buffett has profited in the past from turmoil in the insurance business. Berkshire's after-tax profit from insurance underwriting soared to $2.5 billion last year from $27 million in 2005 after providing insurance cover for coastal properties vulnerable to storms as some premiums quadrupled because of record U.S. hurricane losses.

``If Buffett smells an opportunity, his track record suggests there is one,'' said Georg Grodzki, head of credit research at London-based Legal & General Group Plc. ``Buffett seems to believe the market is viable and the bond insurer has a future.'' Yeah, I agree. It's the monoline derivative insurer that is DOA.

Separately, Berkshire Hathaway agreed to buy the reinsurance unit of ING Groep NV for about 300 million euros ($440 million), the biggest Dutch financial-services company said in a statement today.

Berkshire's Class A stock reached a record $151,650 a share on Dec. 11, having surged 25 percent this year. The stock had only three losing years since 1988.

Buffett Starts U.S. Municipal Bond Insurer, WSJ Says (Update6)

By Cecile Gutscher and Christine Richard

Enlarge Image/DetailsEnlarge Image/DetailsEnlarge Image/Details

Dec. 28 (Bloomberg) -- Billionaire investor Warren Buffett is starting a bond insurer to take U.S. local-government business away from companies including MBIA Inc. and Ambac Financial Group Inc., the Wall Street Journal reported.

Berkshire Hathaway Assurance Corp. opens for business today in New York State, Buffett, chairman of Omaha, Nebraska-based Berkshire Hathaway Inc., said in an interview with the newspaper. David Neustadt, a spokesman for the New York State Insurance Department, said Berkshire had applied for a license to insure bonds. He wasn't able to say if the license has been granted.

Buffett, who said in October he was looking for investments to absorb $45 billion of cash, is challenging the bond insurers as they struggle to retain the AAA credit ratings that allow them to guarantee debt. The top rankings of MBIA, Ambac and other so-called monolines are under scrutiny amid concern they don't have enough capital for the $2.4 trillion of debt they guarantee.

``The monolines are hurting so now is a good time for Buffett to be getting into the market,'' said Matthew Maxwell, a London-based credit analyst at Calyon, the investment banking unit of Credit Agricole SA. ``Investors might feel more comfortable investing in bonds insured by Buffett than those backed by an insurer with the legacy of the credit crisis hanging over them.''

Buffett, 77, told the Journal he will also seek permission to operate in California, Puerto Rico, Texas, Illinois and Florida.

Calls before regular business hours to Berkshire spokeswoman Jackie Wilson and Buffett's assistant Debbie Bosanek, both in Omaha, weren't immediately returned.

Shares Drop

MBIA, down 70 percent this year, fell 59 cents to $21.68 in early trading on the New York Stock Exchange. Ambac, down 67 percent, dropped 67 cents to $28.48.

Berkshire Hathaway has AAA ratings from Fitch Ratings, Moody's Investors Service and Standard & Poor's and its guarantee would enable municipal bond issuers to cut the cost of financing everything from hospitals to schools to sports stadiums.

Buffett, who said he would charge more than existing financial guarantors, would present competition for Armonk, New York-based MBIA, as well as Ambac and FGIC Corp. of New York, as they try to convince Moody's, Fitch and S&P that they deserve to keep their top ratings.

Fitch has given MBIA and Ambac less than six weeks to raise $1 billion each or face losing their AAA ratings. Moody's and S&P earlier month placed MBIA's ranking on negative outlook. MBIA on Dec. 10 said it will get $1 billion from private-equity firm Warburg Pincus LLC to bolster its capital and Ambac took out reinsurance on $29 billion of securities it guarantees.

`Mass Destruction'

Bonds sold by state governments make up about 33 percent of the insurance premiums collected by MBIA, the biggest of the monolines, and 50 percent of revenue for No. 2 competitor Ambac.

The companies stumbled as they expanded beyond municipal securities into structured finance securities such as collateralized debt obligations, which package pools of bonds and loans and slice them into separate pieces.

Buffett, who has described derivatives as ``financial weapons of mass destruction,'' told the Journal he will focus on insuring municipal debt rather than CDOs.

New York-based monoline ACA Capital Holdings Inc. is struggling to stave off delinquency proceedings after the value of the CDOs it guaranteed plunged. S&P cut ACA's rating by 12 levels to CCC after the company posted a $1.04 billion third- quarter loss.

ACA Financial Guaranty Corp., a unit of ACA Capital, said this week it will seek approval from the Maryland Insurance Administration before pledging or assigning assets or paying dividends.

Smelling Opportunity

Buffett has profited in the past from turmoil in the insurance business. Berkshire's after-tax profit from insurance underwriting soared to $2.5 billion last year from $27 million in 2005 after providing insurance cover for coastal properties vulnerable to storms as some premiums quadrupled because of record U.S. hurricane losses.

``If Buffett smells an opportunity, his track record suggests there is one,'' said Georg Grodzki, head of credit research at London-based Legal & General Group Plc. ``Buffett seems to believe the market is viable and the bond insurer has a future.''

Separately, Berkshire Hathaway agreed to buy the reinsurance unit of ING Groep NV for about 300 million euros ($440 million), the biggest Dutch financial-services company said in a statement today.

Berkshire's Class A stock reached a record $151,650 a share on Dec. 11, having surged 25 percent this year. The stock had only three losing years since 1988.

Tagged under
  • Insurers and Insurance
  • Heard on the Street
  • Risk Management

Related items (by tag)

  • Preparing Resources To Shop For Distressed Assets As Banks Refuse To Come Clean On Near Fraudulent Reporting
  • It's Not Just Reggie Warning Irishmen Anymore As Irish Presidency of the European Council Says Capital At Risk
  • The Beginning Of The Great Irish Unwind?!?!?!
  • Direct Challenge To Federal Reserve & Irish Central Bank Bubble Blowers: Recovery Or Parlor Tricks, Boom Or Bust
  • As Forewarned, The Irish Savers Have Just Been "Cyprus'd", And There's MUCH MORE "Cyprusing" To Come

Image Gallery

More in this category: « Lennar Insolvent: Enron redux??? A personal email on the monolines, pt. deux »

Add comment


Security code
Refresh

Send
Cancel
JComments
back to top
ReggieMiddletonReggieMiddleton: See how RBS charges passed stresstesters,they werent even included in RBS financial reports! #SEC?... http://t.co/3oQXsFB8vs

23 hours ago from Facebook

ReggieMiddletonReggieMiddleton: See how RBS charges passed stresstesters,they werent even included in RBS financial reports! #SEC? Regulators?Anyone? http://t.co/ZWRxoIlfm2

23 hours ago from HootSuite

ReggieMiddletonReggieMiddleton: Hidden Bank Facts! If Ulster charges not in stress tests then UK taxpayers http://t.co/bcm0ZqCzex join Irish savers? http://t.co/E9DJo3QPUX

about a day ago from HootSuite

Follow me on Twitter

powered by TweetXT!

Topics

Asia Asset Securitization Crisis Banking Blogonomics Capital Markets Commercial Banks Commercial Real Estate Current Affairs Earnings Financial Engineering Financial Services Financial Shenanigans Global Macro Heard on the Street Industrial Manufacturing Insurers and Insurance Investment Banks Law & the Government Legislation Legislation, Law & the Government Mortgage Banking Questions from Reggie to Ask YOUR Advisor Research Residential Real Estate Retail Risk Management Strategy technology Trading UK and Eurozone

Latest comments

  • Google Q2 2013 Update: Valuing...
    I like ARMH as well, but as you said... 80x+ trailing PE. Even if you ...
    16.05.13 10:15
    By ReggieMiddleton
  • Google Q2 2013 Update: Valuing...
    In my humble view, ARMH is a better bet and stock risk now is overall ...
    15.05.13 02:18
    By Dar
  • Short Term Gain Brings About L...
    If everyone was on board instead of being consumed in themselves they ...
    11.05.13 01:10
    By Dr. Nathanial David
  • Preparing Resources To Shop Fo...
    :lol: Well done Reggie, thanks for the post, god knows it is a sad sta...
    10.05.13 17:28
    By jynx101
  • It's Not Just Reggie Warning I...
    Buy precious metals and physically HOLD it. :-)
    08.05.13 17:38
    By Rourke
RSS
You need Flash player 8+ and JavaScript enabled to view this video.


  • Follow us on Blogger
  • Follow us on Facebook
  • Follow us on LinkedIn
  • Follow us on Twitter
  • Follow us on Youtube

Live Spreadsheet Content

  • Online Only Subscription Content
    • Professional Level Live Spreadsheets
    • Retail Level Live Spreadsheets
    « May 2013 »
    Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun
        1 2 3 4 5
    6 7 8 9 10 11 12
    13 14 15 16 17 18 19
    20 21 22 23 24 25 26
    27 28 29 30 31    

    Facebook Recommendations

    • Sitemap
    • Terms & conditions
    • All Articles
    • Docs
    © Boombustblog.com

    Forgot your password?
    Forgot your username?
    Create an account
    CC SIGN IN WITH FACEBOOK