China's Central Bank Eliminates Margin T…

19-01-2017 Hits:145 BoomBustBlog Reggie Middleton

China's Central Bank Eliminates Margin Trading of Bitcoin

There have been rumors that the Chinese Central Bank (PBoC - People's Bank of China) would limit or eliminate margin trading in Bitcoin. It is now official, sort of...

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Is Donald Trump Truly Successful or Born…

18-01-2017 Hits:255 BoomBustBlog Reggie Middleton

Is Donald Trump Truly Successful or Born With A Silver Spoon? An Analysis

In social media and mainstream media, I often hear Donald Trump quoted (by himself, and others) as an extremely successful, self-made man. As an entrepreneur for nearly all of my...

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As I Promised, EU Is Colliding Into Prac…

17-01-2017 Hits:714 BoomBustBlog Reggie Middleton

As I Promised, EU Is Colliding Into Practical Confines of NIRP, Bank Hemorrhaging Up Next

Nearly a year ago, I warned subscribers of consequences stemming from the ECB's negative interest rate program. Here's an exceprt from our resarch report titled European Banking Macro Issues for March...

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Is Bitcoin Too Risky? Whenever the Bitco…

12-01-2017 Hits:1322 BoomBustBlog Reggie Middleton

Is Bitcoin Too Risky? Whenever the Bitcoin is Mentioned in Financial Pop Media, Ignorance Ensues

I hate to be the one to break bad news to you, but most of the pop media/mainstream media financial pundits that I hear and see opine on bitcoin have...

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What Happens When Rates Rise While the S…

10-01-2017 Hits:748 BoomBustBlog Reggie Middleton

What Happens When Rates Rise While the S&P 500 Relies on Cheap Credit To Boost EPS?

So, the stock market, bond market and real estate markets are all at all-time highs. Everything is Awesome! You know better than that. You see, when the bond market wakes...

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Debt Encumbered Oil, Sovereign Soil, Toi…

10-01-2017 Hits:581 BoomBustBlog Reggie Middleton

Debt Encumbered Oil, Sovereign Soil, Toil & Trouble: Can't You Hear Seems Cracking in the OPEC Empire?

@WSJ reports Libya Ramping Up Oil Production, Threatening OPEC (supposed) Plans to lift global oil place by artificially limiting supply. This would be in violation of federal antii-trust laws in the...

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Ten Years Since BoomBustBlog Was 1st Pub…

09-01-2017 Hits:898 BoomBustBlog Reggie Middleton

Ten Years Since BoomBustBlog Was 1st Published & That Initial Research Still Relevant Today

We have looked into insurance companies' performance last month in regards to our bearish real estate thesis. A small comederie of companies are suffering losses and/or declining profits as we've exected....

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The Macro Truth About The Big Bitcoin Po…

07-01-2017 Hits:1068 BoomBustBlog Reggie Middleton

Bitcoin has dropped precipitously, and as is usual, we have the cacophony of instant digital currency pundits cackling about as if they had a clue. This is the inaugural post...

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To Bust or Not To Bust: Are We In A Real…

04-01-2017 Hits:755 BoomBustBlog Reggie Middleton

To Bust or Not To Bust: Are We In A Real Estate Bubble?

Banks are showing thin NIM, yet many of the big banks are able to boast stable if not slightly improving credit metrics. This doesn’t make sense considering the explosive growth...

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What Happens To Real Asset Lending Banks…

03-01-2017 Hits:603 BoomBustBlog Reggie Middleton

What Happens To Real Asset Lending Banks When the Real Funding Rate Appears? We're About to Find Out

During the financial crisis of 2008, money market funds who subjectively agreed to hold their NAV (net asset value) unit prices at $1 “broke the buck”. That is, the unit...

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Stress Test on Banks’ Earnings Facing th…

30-06-2014 Hits:44721 BoomBustBlog Reggie Middleton

Stress Test on Banks’ Earnings Facing the Veritaseum UltraCoin Value Transaction Platform

My last post on the topic of disintermediation during a paradigm shift was Wall Street Should Be First To Invest In Reggie Middleton's UltraCoin, Much Of It Won't Be Here In...

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Introducing the "Unbreakable Promis…

09-06-2014 Hits:39522 BoomBustBlog Reggie Middleton

Introducing the "Unbreakable Promise" As a Method Increasing Efficiencies and Decreasing Risk

Continuing on the margin compression theme originally laid out in Margin Compression Is Coming in the Payment Processing Space As $100 Million Pours Into Startups, I illustrate mathematically how the bit...

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I see in the comments section that many of you are taking losses on your shorts. A few words of wisdom:

  1. The time the research comes out is the time to act on it. Since I do not currently offer quantitative or timing services, look at the historical price chart and ascertain whether you should jump in or ease into the position. As Shaunsnoll stated, the spreads and the implied volatility on the thinly traded stuff is murder. I fight with the lone market maker on many of my positions daily, and it often takes up to a month or more to fill completely. I wait for irrational price movements to fill my orders in lieu of chasing behind wide spreads, which put you behind by default.
  2. If you short, use protection.
  3. I take a longer term time horizon. I can't predict the future, and I don't try. I find someone who is in trouble (or about to do really well), take as inexpensive and as efficient position as possible, then dig in and wait to see if my thesis pans out. Consider me a private equity/venture capital style investor that goes long and short in public markets.
  4. The markets are as volatile as I have ever seen them. Expect significant drawdowns. 2/3rds of you are not managing other people's money, so you don't have to worry about quarterly performance, and the other third need to educate your clients on the realities of today's environment. The only way to make money without a drawdown is cash, which is a guaranteed loss in real terms. For individuals, don't short or buy speculative derivatives with money that you can't afford to lose, period!
  5. I oftern release my bearish research before the crowd turns bearish, or at least before the crowd realizes exactly how bad the situation actually is. Taking this in consideration, if you ride a company down from $25 to $10, you should have taken or locked in profits. You can speculate with the house money on further decline, but profits should be locked in once they are achieved. I tell my children that I always leave the last dime on the table, primarily because picking up the dime usualy cost about $1.20.
  6. If you are a retail subscriber, be aware that much of the researched information necessary to accurately speculate on further price action (past the opined price in the report) is contained in the professional or higher packages. That is what those subscribers pay for, and if you want a richer set of assumptions, macro arguments and justifications to power your speculation, I strongly suggest that you upgrade.  
I will be releasing a lot of research over the next few days. Read it carefully and take advantage of irrational spikes in market prices. An insolvent company will probably still be insolvent, zero interest rates or not.