More info on the intitial shortlisted four
|
Company |
Navistar International Corporation |
Crown Holdings Inc. |
Encore Wire Corporation |
Wabash National Corporation |
|
Company description |
Navistar |
Crown |
Encore |
Wabash |
|
Industry Segment |
Motor vehicles |
Fabricated metal |
Metal |
Motor vehicles |
|
Closing price (24th July 08) |
63.9 |
28.8 |
22.6 |
9.2 |
|
Market capitalization (in $ million) |
4488.32 |
4634.62 |
521.18 |
282.52 |
|
Current P/E |
93.97 |
19.21 |
27.17 |
35.38 |
|
Current P/B |
NA |
22.83 |
1.42 |
1.01 |
|
EPS |
|
|
|
|
|
Current |
-1.7 |
3.3 |
1.3 |
0.5 |
|
FY 2007 |
-1.7 |
3.3 |
1.3 |
0.5 |
|
FY 2006 |
4.3 |
1.9 |
5.0 |
0.3 |
|
FY 2005 |
2.0 |
-2.2 |
2.2 |
3.6 |
|
FY 2004 |
-0.6 |
0.3 |
1.5 |
2.1 |
|
FY 2003 |
-0.3 |
-0.2 |
0.6 |
-2.3 |
|
BVPS |
|
|
|
|
|
Current |
-8.1 |
1.3 |
15.9 |
9.1 |
|
FY 2007 |
-10.5 |
0.1 |
15.3 |
9.4 |
|
FY 2006 |
-15.9 |
-3.0 |
14.1 |
9.1 |
|
FY 2005 |
-24.3 |
-1.4 |
9.1 |
9.0 |
|
FY 2004 |
-26.6 |
1.7 |
6.9 |
5.3 |
|
FY 2003 |
4.2 |
0.8 |
5.4 |
0.8 |
|
Share performance |
|
|
|
|
|
1 month (%) |
-10.0 |
5.7 |
2.8 |
5.3 |
|
3 months (%) |
-1.7 |
6.2 |
20.9 |
-4.6 |
|
12 months (%) |
-11.4 |
7.5 |
-23.5 |
-34.3 |
|
Revenue (in $ million) |
|
|
|
|
|
Trailing twelve months |
13060 |
8083 |
1195.0 |
1004.8 |
|
FY 2007 |
12295 |
7727 |
1184.8 |
1102.5 |
|
FY 2006 |
14200 |
6982 |
1249.3 |
1312.2 |
|
FY 2005 |
12124 |
6675 |
758.1 |
1213.7 |
|
FY 2004 |
9678 |
6531 |
603.2 |
1041.1 |
|
FY 2003 |
7585 |
6630 |
384.8 |
887.9 |
|
Revenue growth (%) |
|
|
|
|
|
FY 2007 |
-13.4 |
10.7 |
-5.2 |
-16.0 |
|
FY 2006 |
17.1 |
4.6 |
64.8 |
8.1 |
|
FY 2005 |
25.3 |
2.2 |
25.7 |
16.6 |
|
FY 2004 |
27.6 |
-1.5 |
56.8 |
17.2 |
|
Net income (in $ million) |
|
|
|
|
|
Trailing twelve months |
55.0 |
561.0 |
19.6 |
8.9 |
|
FY 2007 |
-120.0 |
528.0 |
30.8 |
16.3 |
|
FY 2006 |
301.0 |
309.0 |
115.1 |
9.4 |
|
FY 2005 |
139.0 |
-362.0 |
50.1 |
111.1 |
|
FY 2004 |
-44.0 |
51.0 |
33.4 |
58.4 |
|
FY 2003 |
-21.0 |
-32.0 |
14.4 |
-57.2 |
|
Gross margin (%) |
|
|
|
|
|
Latest quarter |
NA |
18.6 |
6.0 |
3.7 |
|
FY 2007 |
17.6 |
16.3 |
9.4 |
8.3 |
|
FY 2006 |
17.6 |
16.0 |
19.6 |
8.0 |
|
FY 2005 |
15.5 |
17.1 |
16.5 |
11.1 |
|
FY 2004 |
14.6 |
12.3 |
16.0 |
12.1 |
|
FY 2003 |
16.0 |
11.5 |
14.5 |
5.5 |
|
Operating margin (%) |
|
|
|
|
|
Latest quarter |
NA |
11.3 |
0.8 |
-5.6 |
|
FY 2007 |
2.6 |
8.3 |
4.3 |
2.4 |
|
FY 2006 |
5.0 |
8.2 |
14.8 |
1.7 |
|
FY 2005 |
3.2 |
8.4 |
10.4 |
6.6 |
|
FY 2004 |
1.9 |
7.5 |
9.0 |
6.6 |
|
FY 2003 |
1.0 |
6.5 |
6.4 |
-1.0 |
|
Debt Equity ratio (%) |
|
|
|
|
|
Latest quarter |
NA |
1871.4 |
27.5 |
28.8 |
|
FY 2007 |
NA |
1016.9 |
28.4 |
37.3 |
|
FY 2006 |
NA |
NA |
30.3 |
45.0 |
|
FY 2005 |
NA |
34030.0 |
33.5 |
45.0 |
|
FY 2004 |
NA |
810.0 |
31.2 |
77.5 |
|
FY 2003 |
952.1 |
1168.8 |
43.9 |
1025.7 |
|
Interest coverage ratio (times) |
|
|
|
|
|
Current |
0.9 |
NA |
9.0 |
5.3 |
|
FY 2007 |
0.9 |
NA |
9.0 |
5.3 |
|
FY 2006 |
1.9 |
NA |
24.0 |
3.4 |
|
FY 2005 |
1.5 |
0.0 |
20.1 |
NA |
|
FY 2004 |
0.9 |
1.3 |
18.1 |
6.5 |
|
FY 2003 |
NA |
0.6 |
10.3 |
-0.9 |
|
Capex ($ million) |
|
|
|
|
|
Trailing twelve months |
N.A. |
151.0 |
27.9 |
6.6 |
|
FY 2007 |
312.0 |
156.0 |
28.5 |
6.7 |
|
FY 2006 |
230.0 |
191.0 |
22.4 |
12.9 |
|
FY 2005 |
295.0 |
192.0 |
17.2 |
30.9 |
|
FY 2004 |
244.0 |
138.0 |
23.8 |
15.5 |
|
FY 2003 |
210.0 |
120.0 |
6.1 |
6.5 |
|
Total assets ($ million) |
|
|
|
|
|
Current |
11,614 |
7,698 |
532.9 |
464.4 |
|
FY 2007 |
11,448 |
6,979 |
513.9 |
483.6 |
|
FY 2006 |
12,830 |
6,409 |
474.2 |
556.5 |
|
FY 2005 |
10,786 |
6,545 |
348.5 |
548.7 |
|
FY 2004 |
8,750 |
8,125 |
251.5 |
432.0 |
|
FY 2003 |
6,929 |
7,773 |
225.3 |
397.0 |
|
Finance and other receivables |
5,472 |
|||
|
Provision for credit losses |
93 |
|||
|
as % of fin receivables |
1.7% |
|||
|
Finance receivables as % of total assets |
47.1% |
|||
|
Total debt |
6,884 |
3800 |
||
|
Debt to Assets |
59.3% |
49.4% |
||
|
1881% |
||||
|
Shareholder's equity |
(562) |
202 |
||
|
Key points |
Negative shareholders equity |
Shareholder's equity of $202 mn |
|
Some buying interest seen in the stock lately, the market cap and price is very small |
|
|
High debt in its balancesheet with 60% debt to asset ratio |
Net Sales grew 10.4% to $2,196 million while net income increased 9% to $99 mn in 2Q2008. |
Slowdown in construction industry and rising |
Poor latest quaterly results, P/E very large and technical reasons to fall |
|
|
Interest coverage ratio less than 1. Unable to meet even interest payments. |
Volumes improved in Europe. Asia and middle east markets. |
Howver, the beating comes on margins which squeezed substantially. Gross margin was 6% against 12.6% the previous quarer and operating margin was 0.8% against 7.5% the previous quarter. |
|
|
|
Also |
Highly leveraged with debt-to-equity of 1871 mn |
Volumes |
|
|
|
Higher cost of inputs - crude oil, steel, aluminum, copper to affect margins |
High valuation with P/B of 23 and P/E of 19. |
Although |
|
|
|
Higher crude oil price to keep demand under pressure |
Potential difficulties in meeting its debt liabilities. |
|
The beating is largely coming from the manufacturing segment which accounts for about 80% of the revenues |
|
|
Navistar, |
Shareprice has witnessed an increase of 14% y-o-y |
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High valuation multiples compared to its peers. |
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Expansion plans with strategic alliance with Catarpillar and engine supply agreement with GM |
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Company |
http://investors.crowncork.com/phoenix.zhtml?c=85121&p=irol-newsArticle&ID=1175847&highlight= |
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