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Thursday, 01 October 2009 05:00

And the next AIG is....

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As many of my subscribers know, I have caught many companies on the short side as they imploded. One company that I did not get was American International Group. The reason it escaped me? I was too close to it. I have met Frank Tizzio (then president), Maurice Greenburg (then CEO and Chairman), and a several of their upper management to collaborate on deals, and was impressed with the way they ran their shop. Because of this, I didn't apply the same critical, skeptical eye that I used with the other prospects. Alas, because of such, I overlooked the inevitable. Well, I have learned my lesson. The lesson learned from AIG was not wasted on me, but does seem to have been wasted on many others. With this thought in mind, let's review the net, unhedged swap exposure of a few of our analysis subjects. I think a few subscribers may have their eyebrows raised. Some things are actually hiding in plain sight. See BAC Swap exposure_011009 Swap exposure_011009 2009-10-01 10:44:45 1.02 Mb.

For the sake of nostalgia, here is an old post of the same company's ABS inventory: BAC ABS Inventory ABS Inventory 2008-02-25 06:48:09 0 bytes

I will be releasing similar analysis of other banks and insurers over the next day or two.

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